Studying
Supervised studying is a class of machine studying that makes use of labeled datasets to coach algorithms to foretell outcomes and acknowledge patterns.
Not like unsupervised studying, supervised studying algorithms are given labeled coaching to be taught the connection between the enter and the outputs.
Prerequisite: Linear algebra
Suppose we have now a regression downside the place the mannequin must predict steady values by taking n variety of enter options (xi).
The prediction worth is outlined as a perform referred to as speculation (h):
the place:
- θi: i-th parameter corresponding to every enter characteristic (x_i),
- ϵ (epsilon): Gaussian error (ϵ ~ N(0, σ²)))
Because the speculation for a single enter generates a scalar worth (hθ(x)∈R), it may be denoted because the dot product of the transpose of the parameter vector (θT) and the characteristic vector for that enter (x):

Batch Gradient Descent
Gradient Descent is an iterative optimization algorithm used to search out native minima of a perform. At every step, it strikes within the path reverse to the path of steepest descent to progressively decrease the perform’s worth — merely, hold going downhill.
Now, recall we have now n parameters that influence the prediction. So, we have to know the particular contribution of the particular person parameter (θi) equivalent to coaching information (xi)) to the perform.
Suppose we set measurement of every step as a studying fee (α), and discover a price curve (J), then the parameter is deducted at every step such that:

(α: studying fee, J(θ): cost perform, ∂/∂θi: partial spinoff of the price perform with respect to θi)
Gradient
The gradient represents the slope of the price perform.
Contemplating the remaining parameters and their corresponding partial derivatives of the price perform (J), the gradient of the price perform at θ for n parameters is outlined as:

Gradient is a matrix notation of partial derivatives of the price perform with respect to all of the parameters (θ0 to θn).
Because the studying fee is a scalar (α∈R), the replace rule of the gradient descent algorithm is expressed in matrix notation:

Consequently, the parameter (θ) resides within the (n+1)-dimensional area.
Geographically, it goes downhill at a step equivalent to the training fee till reaching the convergence.

Computation
The target of linear regression is to reduce the hole (MSE) between predicted values and precise values given within the coaching dataset.
Value Operate (Goal Operate)
This hole (MSE) is outlined as a mean hole of all of the coaching examples:

the place
- Jθ: price perform (or loss perform),
- hθ: prediction from the mannequin,
- x: i_th enter characteristic,
- y: i_th goal worth, and
- m: the variety of coaching examples.
The gradient is computed by taking partial spinoff of the price perform with respect to every parameter:

As a result of we have now n+1 parameters (together with an intercept time period θ0) and m coaching examples, we’ll kind a gradient vector utilizing matrix notation:

In matrix notation, the place X represents the design matrix together with the intercept time period and θ is the parameter vector, the gradient ∇θJ(θ) is given by:

The LMS (Least Imply Squares) rule is an iterative algorithm that constantly adjusts the mannequin’s parameters based mostly on the error between its predictions and the precise goal values of the coaching examples.
Least Minimal Squares (LMS) Rule
In every epoch of gradient descent, each parameter θi is up to date by subtracting a fraction of the common error throughout all coaching examples:

This course of permits the algorithm to iteratively discover the optimum parameters that reduce the price perform.
(Observe: θi is a parameter related to enter characteristic xi, and the purpose of the algorithm is to search out its optimum worth, not that it’s already an optimum parameter.)
Regular Equation
To search out the optimum parameter (θ*) that minimizes the price perform, we will use the regular equation.
This methodology provides an analytical resolution for linear regression, permitting us to immediately calculate the θ worth that minimizes the price perform.
Not like iterative optimization methods, the traditional equation finds this optimum by immediately fixing for the purpose the place the gradient is zero, guaranteeing fast convergence:

Therefore:

This depends on the belief that the design matrix X is invertible, which suggests that every one its enter options (from x_0 to x_n) are linearly impartial.
If X is just not invertible, we’ll want to regulate the enter options to make sure their mutual independence.
Simulation
In actuality, we repeat the method till convergence by setting:
- Value perform and its gradient
- Studying fee
- Tolerance (min. price threshold to cease the iteration)
- Most variety of iterations
- Place to begin
Batch by Studying Charge
The next coding snippet demonstrates the method of gradient descent finds native minima of a quadratic price perform by studying charges (0.1, 0.3, 0.8 and 0.9):
def cost_func(x):
return x**2 - 4 * x + 1
def gradient(x):
return 2*x - 4
def gradient_descent(gradient, begin, learn_rate, max_iter, tol):
x = begin
steps = [start] # data studying steps
for _ in vary(max_iter):
diff = learn_rate * gradient(x)
if np.abs(diff)

Predicting Credit score Card Transaction
Allow us to use a sample dataset on Kaggle to foretell bank card transaction utilizing linear regression with Batch GD.
1. Information Preprocessing
a) Base DataFrame
First, we’ll merge these 4 recordsdata from the pattern dataset utilizing IDs as the important thing, whereas sanitizing the uncooked information:
- transaction (csv)
- consumer (csv)
- bank card (csv)
- train_fraud_labels (json)
# load transaction information
trx_df = pd.read_csv(f'{dir}/transactions_data.csv')
# sanitize the dataset
trx_df = trx_df[trx_df['errors'].isna()]
trx_df = trx_df.drop(columns=['merchant_city','merchant_state', 'date', 'mcc', 'errors'], axis='columns')
trx_df['amount'] = trx_df['amount'].apply(sanitize_df)
# merge the dataframe with fraud transaction flag.
with open(f'{dir}/train_fraud_labels.json', 'r') as fp:
fraud_labels_json = json.load(fp=fp)
fraud_labels_dict = fraud_labels_json.get('goal', {})
fraud_labels_series = pd.Sequence(fraud_labels_dict, identify='is_fraud')
fraud_labels_series.index = fraud_labels_series.index.astype(int)
merged_df = pd.merge(trx_df, fraud_labels_series, left_on='id', right_index=True, how='left')
merged_df.fillna({'is_fraud': 'No'}, inplace=True)
merged_df['is_fraud'] = merged_df['is_fraud'].map({'Sure': 1, 'No': 0})
merged_df = merged_df.dropna()
# load card information
card_df = pd.read_csv(f'{dir}/cards_data.csv')
card_df = card_df.substitute('nan', np.nan).dropna()
card_df = card_df[card_df['card_on_dark_web'] == 'No']
card_df = card_df.drop(columns=['acct_open_date', 'card_number', 'expires', 'cvv', 'card_on_dark_web'], axis='columns')
card_df['credit_limit'] = card_df['credit_limit'].apply(sanitize_df)
# load consumer information
user_df = pd.read_csv(f'{dir}/users_data.csv')
user_df = user_df.drop(columns=['birth_year', 'birth_month', 'address', 'latitude', 'longitude'], axis='columns')
user_df = user_df.substitute('nan', np.nan).dropna()
user_df['per_capita_income'] = user_df['per_capita_income'].apply(sanitize_df)
user_df['yearly_income'] = user_df['yearly_income'].apply(sanitize_df)
user_df['total_debt'] = user_df['total_debt'].apply(sanitize_df)
# merge transaction and card information
merged_df = pd.merge(left=merged_df, proper=card_df, left_on='card_id', right_on='id', how='interior')
merged_df = pd.merge(left=merged_df, proper=user_df, left_on='client_id_x', right_on='id', how='interior')
merged_df = merged_df.drop(columns=['id_x', 'client_id_x', 'card_id', 'merchant_id', 'id_y', 'client_id_y', 'id'], axis='columns')
merged_df = merged_df.dropna()
# finalize the dataframe
categorical_cols = merged_df.select_dtypes(embrace=['object']).columns
df = merged_df.copy()
df = pd.get_dummies(df, columns=categorical_cols, dummy_na=False, dtype=float)
df = df.dropna()
print('Base information body: n', df.head(n=3))

b) Preprocessing
From the bottom DataFrame, we’ll select appropriate enter options with:
steady values, and seemingly linear relationship with transaction quantity.
df = df[df['is_fraud'] == 0]
df = df[['amount', 'per_capita_income', 'yearly_income', 'credit_limit', 'credit_score', 'current_age']]
Then, we’ll filter outliers past 3 normal deviations away from the imply:
def filter_outliers(df, column, std_threshold) -> pd.DataFrame:
imply = df[column].imply()
std = df[column].std()
upper_bound = imply + std_threshold * std
lower_bound = imply - std_threshold * std
filtered_df = df[(df[column] = lower_bound)]
return filtered_df
df = df.substitute(to_replace='NaN', worth=0)
df = filter_outliers(df=df, column='quantity', std_threshold=3)
df = filter_outliers(df=df, column='per_capita_income', std_threshold=3)
df = filter_outliers(df=df, column='credit_limit', std_threshold=3)
Lastly, we’ll take the logarithm of the goal worth quantity
to mitigate skewed distribution:
df['amount'] = df['amount'] + 1
df['amount_log'] = np.log(df['amount'])
df = df.drop(columns=['amount'], axis='columns')
df = df.dropna()
*Added one to quantity to keep away from detrimental infinity in amount_log column.
Last DataFrame:

c) Transformer
Now, we will cut up and remodel the ultimate DataFrame into prepare/take a look at datasets:
categorical_features = X.select_dtypes(embrace=['object']).columns.tolist()
categorical_transformer = Pipeline(steps=[('imputer', SimpleImputer(strategy='most_frequent')),('onehot', OneHotEncoder(handle_unknown='ignore'))])
numerical_features = X.select_dtypes(embrace=['int64', 'float64']).columns.tolist()
numerical_transformer = Pipeline(steps=[('imputer', SimpleImputer(strategy='mean')), ('scaler', StandardScaler())])
preprocessor = ColumnTransformer(
transformers=[
('num', numerical_transformer, numerical_features),
('cat', categorical_transformer, categorical_features)
]
)
X_train_processed = preprocessor.fit_transform(X_train)
X_test_processed = preprocessor.remodel(X_test)
2. Defining Batch GD Regresser
class BatchGradientDescentLinearRegressor:
def __init__(self, learning_rate=0.01, n_iterations=1000, l2_penalty=0.01, tol=1e-4, persistence=10):
self.learning_rate = learning_rate
self.n_iterations = n_iterations
self.l2_penalty = l2_penalty
self.tol = tol
self.persistence = persistence
self.weights = None
self.bias = None
self.historical past = {'loss': [], 'grad_norm': [], 'weight':[], 'bias': [], 'val_loss': []}
self.best_weights = None
self.best_bias = None
self.best_val_loss = float('inf')
self.epochs_no_improve = 0
def _mse_loss(self, y_true, y_pred, weights):
m = len(y_true)
loss = (1 / (2 * m)) * np.sum((y_pred - y_true)**2)
l2_term = (self.l2_penalty / (2 * m)) * np.sum(weights**2)
return loss + l2_term
def match(self, X_train, y_train, X_val=None, y_val=None):
n_samples, n_features = X_train.form
self.weights = np.zeros(n_features)
self.bias = 0
for i in vary(self.n_iterations):
y_pred = np.dot(X_train, self.weights) + self.bias
dw = (1 / n_samples) * np.dot(X_train.T, (y_pred - y_train)) + (self.l2_penalty / n_samples) * self.weights
db = (1 / n_samples) * np.sum(y_pred - y_train)
loss = self._mse_loss(y_train, y_pred, self.weights)
gradient = np.concatenate([dw, [db]])
grad_norm = np.linalg.norm(gradient)
# replace historical past
self.historical past['weight'].append(self.weights[0])
self.historical past['loss'].append(loss)
self.historical past['grad_norm'].append(grad_norm)
self.historical past['bias'].append(self.bias)
# descent
self.weights -= self.learning_rate * dw
self.bias -= self.learning_rate * db
if X_val is just not None and y_val is just not None:
val_y_pred = np.dot(X_val, self.weights) + self.bias
val_loss = self._mse_loss(y_val, val_y_pred, self.weights)
self.historical past['val_loss'].append(val_loss)
if val_loss = self.persistence:
print(f"Early stopping at iteration {i+1} (validation loss didn't enhance for {self.persistence} epochs)")
self.weights = self.best_weights
self.bias = self.best_bias
break
if (i + 1) % 100 == 0:
print(f"Iteration {i+1}/{self.n_iterations}, Loss: {loss:.4f}", finish="")
if X_val is just not None:
print(f", Validation Loss: {val_loss:.4f}")
else:
move
def predict(self, X_test):
return np.dot(X_test, self.weights) + self.bias
3. Prediction & Evaluation
mannequin = BatchGradientDescentLinearRegressor(learning_rate=0.001, n_iterations=10000, l2_penalty=0, tol=1e-5, persistence=5)
mannequin.match(X_train_processed, y_train.values)
y_pred = mannequin.predict(X_test_processed)
Output:
Of the 5 enter options, per_capita_income
confirmed the best correlation with the transaction quantity:
(Left: Weight by enter options (Backside: extra transaction), Proper: Value perform (learning_rate=0.001, i=10,000, m=50,000, n=5))
Imply Squared Error (MSE): 1.5752
R-squared: 0.0206
Imply Absolute Error (MAE): 1.0472
Time complexity: Coaching: O(n²m+n³) + Prediction: O(n)
House complexity: O(nm)
(m: coaching instance measurement, n: enter characteristic measurement, assuming m >>> n)
Stochastic Gradient Descent
Batch GD makes use of your entire coaching dataset to compute gradient in every iteration step (epoch), which is computationally costly particularly when we have now hundreds of thousands of dataset.
Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD) then again,
- sometimes shuffles the coaching information originally of every epoch,
- randomly choose a single coaching instance in every iteration,
- calculates the gradient utilizing the instance, and
- updates the mannequin’s weights and bias after processing every particular person coaching instance.
This ends in many weight updates per epoch (equal to the variety of coaching samples), many fast and computationally low-cost updates based mostly on particular person information factors, permitting it to iterate via giant datasets a lot quicker.
Simulation
Much like Batch GD, we’ll outline the SGD class and run the prediction:
class StochasticGradientDescentLinearRegressor:
def __init__(self, learning_rate=0.01, n_iterations=100, l2_penalty=0.01, random_state=None):
self.learning_rate = learning_rate
self.n_iterations = n_iterations
self.l2_penalty = l2_penalty
self.random_state = random_state
self._rng = np.random.default_rng(seed=random_state)
self.weights_history = []
self.bias_history = []
self.loss_history = []
self.weights = None
self.bias = None
def _mse_loss_single(self, y_true, y_pred):
return 0.5 * (y_pred - y_true)**2
def match(self, X, y):
n_samples, n_features = X.form
self.weights = self._rng.random(n_features)
self.bias = 0.0
for epoch in vary(self.n_iterations):
permutation = self._rng.permutation(n_samples)
X_shuffled = X[permutation]
y_shuffled = y[permutation]
epoch_loss = 0
for i in vary(n_samples):
xi = X_shuffled[i]
yi = y_shuffled[i]
y_pred = np.dot(xi, self.weights) + self.bias
dw = xi * (y_pred - yi) + self.l2_penalty * self.weights
db = y_pred - yi
self.weights -= self.learning_rate * dw
self.bias -= self.learning_rate * db
epoch_loss += self._mse_loss_single(yi, y_pred)
if n_features >= 2:
self.weights_history.append(self.weights[:2].copy())
elif n_features == 1:
self.weights_history.append(np.array([self.weights[0], 0]))
self.bias_history.append(self.bias)
self.loss_history.append(self._mse_loss_single(yi, y_pred) + (self.l2_penalty / (2 * n_samples)) * (np.sum(self.weights**2) + self.bias**2)) # Approx L2
print(f"Epoch {epoch+1}/{self.n_iterations}, Loss: {epoch_loss/n_samples:.4f}")
def predict(self, X):
return np.dot(X, self.weights) + self.bias
mannequin = StochasticGradientDescentLinearRegressor(learning_rate=0.001, n_iterations=200, random_state=42)
mannequin.match(X=X_train_processed, y=y_train.values)
y_pred = mannequin.predict(X_test_processed)
Output:
Left: Weight by enter options, Proper: Value perform (learning_rate=0.001, i=200, m=50,000, n=5)
SGD launched randomness into the optimization course of (fig. proper).
This “noise” can assist the algorithm soar out of shallow native minima or saddle factors and probably discover higher areas of the parameter area.
Outcomes:
Imply Squared Error (MSE): 1.5808
R-squared: 0.0172
Imply Absolute Error (MAE): 1.0475
Time complexity: Coaching: O(n²m+n³) + Prediction: O(n)
House complexity: O(n)
(m: coaching instance measurement, n: enter characteristic measurement, assuming m >>> n)
Conclusion
Whereas the easy linear mannequin is computationally environment friendly, its inherent simplicity typically prevents it from capturing complicated relationships inside the information.
Contemplating the trade-offs of assorted modeling approaches towards particular goals is important for attaining optimum outcomes.
Reference
All pictures, until in any other case famous, are by the writer.
The article makes use of artificial information, licensed under Apache 2.0 for commercial use.
Creator: Kuriko IWAI